"When Trucks Stop, America Stops"

How fragile our intricate, modern weave of social and economic interdependence!

A document prepared by the American Trucking Associations a few years ago is an excellent reference for what WILL happen when one of any number of proverbial monkey wrenches gets tossed into the gears of our smooth-running existence today. Read the whole doc here.

Below, I've captured the last page summarizing what we can expect when America's trucks stop running (think such causes as pandemic, war, social upheaval, fuel disruption, border crossing delays, material or parts importation halts, security clampdowns, earthquakes, etc.) ...

"When Trucks Stop, America Stops"
A Timeline Showing the Deterioration of Major Industries Following a Truck Stoppage

The first 24 hours
• Delivery of medical supplies to the affected area will cease.
• Hospitals will run out of basic supplies such as syringes and catheters
within hours. Radiopharmaceuticals will deteriorate and become
unusable.
• Service stations will begin to run out of fuel.
• Manufacturers using just-in-time manufacturing will develop component
shortages.
• U.S. mail and other package delivery will cease.

Within one day
• Food shortages will begin to develop.
• Automobile fuel availability and delivery will dwindle, leading to skyrocketing
prices and long lines at the gas pumps.
• Without manufacturing components and trucks for product delivery,
assembly lines will shut down, putting thousands out of work.

Within two to three days
• Food shortages will escalate, especially in the face of hoarding and
consumer panic.
• Supplies of essentials—such as bottled water, powdered milk, and
canned meat—at major retailers will disappear.
• ATMs will run out of cash and banks will be unable to process
transactions.
• Service stations will completely run out of fuel for autos and trucks.
• Garbage will start piling up in urban and suburban areas.
• Container ships will sit idle in ports and rail transport will be disrupted,
eventually coming to a standstill.

Within a week
• Automobile travel will cease due to the lack of fuel. Without autos and
busses, many people will not be able to get to work, shop for groceries,
or access medical care.
• Hospitals will begin to exhaust oxygen supplies.

Within two weeks
• The nation’s clean water supply will begin to run dry.

Within four weeks
• The nation will exhaust its clean water supply and water will be safe for
drinking only after boiling. As a result gastrointestinal illnesses will
increase, further taxing an already weakened health care system.

This timeline presents only the primary effects of a freeze on truck travel. Secondary effects must be considered as well, such as inability to maintain telecommunications service, reduced law enforcement, increased crime, increased illness and injury, higher death rates, and likely, civil unrest.
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Nuclear Explosion

Came across this video posted by a Russian in Zimbabwe, near as I can tell. It has to be an animation, no? ...


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The Fourth American Revolution

Strauss and Howe, in "The Fourth Turning," were very accurate in their mid-'90s assessments of where we would be at this point in time. And Jim Quinn of The Burning Platform does a great job of syncing us up to the minute ...

The next Fourth Turning is due to begin shortly after the new millennium, midway through the Oh-Oh decade. Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the land, with severe distress that could involve questions of class, race, nation and empire. The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression and World War II. - The Fourth Turning - Strauss & Howe -1997

Be sure to read in its entirety this column and recalibrate to where we are in this grand swing of the pendulum.
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Socialism? - "The Soviet Story"

Warning--portions of this video are extremely disturbing. I post this here because of the necessity for thinking adults to realize the scope of the very real evil in this world so evident in our recent history, yet not widely recognized.


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MUST WATCH - "The American Dream"

Please watch this entire video by "The Provacateur Network." Note that it keeps getting more eye-opening and alarming as it goes. By the end, if you have not found your proper bearings, you are free to return to your naively hopeless existence.


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The Progressive Climate of Hate

After the shooting of the Congresswoman from Arizona this weekend, I was contacted out of the blue by someone who thought I should be punished for advertising my business on Alex Jones' "hateful" sites and radio programs. It took me a while of back and forth dialog to get to a more substantive explanation for why this woman thought I should pull my Safecastle ads from the Jones sites.

The challenge was that she would not provide me even a single example of the "hatred" she claimed takes place there at InfoWars and PrisonPlanet. Finally, she offered this much that displayed the political bent behind her complaint:

"... I'm sure when you hear from more people about the same problem they have with Alex Jones that I have, you will be able to ascertain an idea of what we hear from Mr. Jones and what our concerns are. The rant is not nice. It is in the same frame as the limbaughs, hannitys, becks and palins. AND in light of the recent tragedy in Arizona, I am scrutinizing who I patronize."

I give this woman credit at least for not going gonzo on me. We were able to keep our dialog civil enough. But when she disclosed her angle was pure politics, well ... I concluded our discussion with this:

"You're the first person who has ever contacted me about Alex Jones. And I still don't have an example from you about what it is you are complaining about. (It is your complaint--I am unqualified to read your mind or leap to the conclusion you seem to want me to come to without a solid reference point that would be the basis of a complaint like yours.)

"Near as I can tell, given this last comment--you are politically, diametrically opposed to the conservative viewpoint. Rhetoric and hyperbole in today's world is universal across the spectrum, in my experience.

"If you come across an example of what illustrates your dislike and fear of Alex Jones or the hatred you mention, please forward it on to me."

Anyway, my experience with Alex is that he is neither conservative nor liberal. I see him occupying a space largely to himself on the spectrum. I don't agree with everything Alex has to say, but I appreciate his untiring efforts to get at truth. He uses his right to free speech and I support him for that.

For the record--I am conservative in my politics. I keep it out of my business dealings. And I respect folks out there who conduct themselves in a reasonable and mutually respectful fashion no matter their views.

There are kooks in every corner and niche, obviously. My opinion--it's pretty much up to those groups they affiliate themselves with to police or at least disassociate from and condemn the violent wackos.

The kooks do show themselves early and often before generally either going overboard or just finally going away. If the organizations fail to manage their people, that's how the blame when things go tragically wrong can be more broadly brushed, to include those who wanted to ride the wave of emotion for political gain.

This got longer than I intended. I really wanted to simply introduce this excellent reminder of how perhaps one side of the political spectrum more vigorously agitates the waters, given real examples from the last 10 years:

The progressive "climate of hate:" An illustrated primer, 2000-2010, by Michelle Malkin

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Asteroid Discoveries from 1980-2010

Video Created by Scott Manley, this is a view of the solar system showing the locations of all the asteroids starting in 1980, as asteroids are discovered they are added to the map and highlighted white so you can pick out the new ones.

The final color of an asteroid indicates how closely it comes to the inner solar system.

Earth Crossers are Red
Earth Approachers (Perihelion less than 1.3AU) are Yellow
All Others are Green

Notice now the pattern of discovery follows the Earth around its orbit, most discoveries are made in the region directly opposite the Sun. You'll also notice some clusters of discoveries on the line between Earth and Jupiter, these are the result of surveys looking for Jovian moons. Similar clusters of discoveries can be tied to the other outer planets, but those are not visible in this video.

As the video moves into the mid 1990s we see much higher discovery rates as automated sky scanning systems come online. Most of the surveys are imaging the sky directly opposite the sun and you'll see a region of high discovery rates aligned in this manner.

At the beginning of 2010 a new discovery pattern becomes evident, with discovery zones in a line perpendicular to the Sun-Earth vector. These new observations are the result of the WISE (Widefield Infrared Survey Explorer) which is a space mission that's tasked with imaging the entire sky in infrared wavelengths.

The scale of the video at 1080P resolution is roughly 1million kilometers per pixel, and each second of video corresponds to 60 days.

Currently we have observed over half a million minor planets, and the discovery rates show no sign that we're running out of undiscovered objects, scientific estimates suggest that there are about a billion asteroids larger than 100metres (about the size of a football field).
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Drifting Into Deeper, More Insidious Social Crisis

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, of The Telegraph, is always an on-target, educational read.

Here is his latest expose' hitting very close to home, with a warning about rising violence in America arising out of the masses suffering the most through the lingering and even worsening economic doldrums:

Deepening Crisis Traps America's Have-Nots
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$40 Gift Certificate for Every 3 MH Cases Ordered!

Happy New Year, friends!

I'm pleased to announce that for 2011 we have some really cool offers coming your way. I had hoped to be able to announce all of them today, but am still awaiting some critical details on a couple of things.

But for right now, I can unveil our 2011 Mountain House Cans Royalty Rewards program, available exclusively to our buyers club members.

It's simple and easy ...

Until further notice, $40 in Safecastle gift certificates are provided to club members for every three cases of Mountain House cans in a transaction.

As for the ongoing demand deluge for Mountain House cans--December has seen the Oregon Freeze Dry factory able to mostly catch up. We still have weekly dealer order allocation limits, but chances are good that those will disappear in the next few weeks. Right now, your MH cans order will be submitted and processed the week of Jan. 10. That's as good as it gets these days. So if you're looking to stock up--make your move and reap your rewards.

Oh--and I will give you a hint as to one of the other new deals on the stove and which I expect to be able to announce in the next week or so ... Any and every 2011 Safecastle purchase made by buyers club members, starting today, Jan. 1, will be tallied and will qualify for an additional "Cache-Back" credit program good toward the best products in our store. Watch for this announcement coming very soon.

Have a safe and blessed new year!
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L.A. Dry Run Shows Urban Nuke Attack a Survivable Event

Check out this USA Today article about a recent security exercise in L.A. County. It's particularly interesting that at the end of the article, we find this (emphasis mine):

... The 9/11 Commission reported in 2004 that al-Qaeda has been trying to "acquire or make" nuclear weapons for a decade. The International Atomic Energy Agency has logged 421 reports of lost or stolen nuclear materials from member states. The U.S. has lost at least 11 nuclear weapons, according to Harvard's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.

Given these reports, Rick Nelson, an intelligence expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, holds a different view. "I think in my lifetime I'll see the detonation of a nuclear device. I do," he says.

And here's a well-illustrated animation of how/where to seek shelter ...

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Have a Blessed Christmas

Enjoy the season and your loved ones. Even though this gentleman does an amazing job of it, don't "spread yourself too thin."

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NIA: "Unintended Consequences"

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Albert & Winston In Safecastle Square

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John Williams: Watch for Dollar Panic in the Next Year

Click the player image below and jump to Business News Network to watch a Dec. 8 interview with Economist John Williams. Hyperinflation, depression, and collapse are in his forecast for the next year or so. He says to watch for panicked selling of the dollar as the final warning.

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Iranian Missiles That Can Reach US to be Positioned in Venezuela

Iran is planning to place medium-range missiles on Venezuelan soil, based on western information sources, according to an article in the German daily, Die Welt, of November 25, 2010. According to the article, an agreement between the two countries was signed during the last visit of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez to Tehran on October19, 2010.

Read entire article.
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Act FAST if You Don't Want to Wait a LONG Time for your Food Order

May 1, 2011 Update:  MH is nearly caught up with the scads of backorders that had piled up months ago for their cans (and more recently pouches too). Safecastle is in fact taking delivery of several hundred cases of cans this week and will making them available for sale in the USA this week. They will go fast, but we expect to see continual improvement and growing availability of MH cans going forward. (Canadian MH varieties should be coming available again in a few weeks.)


March 3, 2011 Update:  The remaining 8% of the MH dealer network has been asked today to stop taking orders for MH cans. The factory is several months behind in filling the orders that are already in hand. So we have removed all MH can listings from our store until further notice. MH pouches may have to go soon as well since those are now flying out the door as well. 

My warning to our friends and customers that this was in process first went out about six months ago. It was clear that a panic level of buying was setting in across the emergency food industry. Consumers who are new to preparedness are stampeding the emergency food marketplace. I'm not sure we've even dealt with the worst of it yet. 

Those of you who have taken heed of the signs, good for you. Those who have procrastinated--I'm sorry. At this point we can continue to help you out with our many other food brands. They too are dealing with demand surges--some are still dealing better than others. But this is going to mean that those other foods are now going to be inundated with the overflow from what has primarily been swamping MH.

Feb. 23, 2011 Update: Contrary to rumors, the huge demand surge on Mountain House foods (as well as all other food storage brands) is NOT due to government orders. This is about consumer demand, almost reaching panic levels. As of today, the MH manufacturer is still dealing with inventory and growing backlog issues.

A majority of the MH dealer network has been suspended to try to manage order throughput (Safecastle remains an active dealer.) Similarly, several of the MH food varieties have now been temporarily discontinued to allow for the factory to focus on the more popular varieties.

Some can-case orders are at this point taking as long as two months to fully deliver to the customer from the factory as they are shipping and depleting food varieties as fast as they can produce them. The queues keep getting longer. Do not wait.
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Original post-Dec. 2, 2010:  I have been sounding the alarm for a while now. We have seen this developing over the last several weeks and months, folks. At this point, the entire emergency storage food industry is in chaos with a level of surging demand that suppliers' capacity cannot handle.

Many of the most popular foods, across all the brands, quickly disappear out of stock, even shortly after being restocked in warehouses. Most are quickly returning as that happens, but those out-of-stock periods are getting longer and longer. Factory capacities are being overwhelmed, and indications frankly are that we have seen nothing yet.

The demand surge continues to trend upward. Fast.

Companies in the industry are scrambling to continue to deliver as best as possible. But it's beginning to hurt ... at least if you are buyer who needs to stock up today.

Tomorrow it's going to be much more painful.

Effective Immediately, Mountain House Dealers Have Weekly Maximum Can-Case Quotas

Anyway--this post is specifically about an action that Oregon Freeze Dry has taken with it's dealers, effective immediately. Bottom line--we have a weekly maximum order quota on can cases. Those quotas are very tight for us and in no time at all, our customers are going to be dealing with very long wait times for their MH can-case orders to process and deliver. (Pouches are not yet affected.)

The best way to share what we are facing is to provide you with the actual text of the letter, which Melanie has agreed I can provide here (afterward, I will explain what we can do starting right now, if you need to place an order):

Dear Customer:

We regret to inform you Oregon Freeze Dry cannot satisfy all #10 can orders and meet our commitments to other market segments. Sales of #10 cans have continued to surge at a significant level. OFD is allocating as much of our Production Capacity as possible to this market segment, but it isn’t nearly enough.

We’re sure you’ve noticed your lead times have pushed further and further out, and it just isn’t realistic to continue to do this. Therefore it has become necessary to go to an allocation program for our long-time, largest customers/distributors.

As one of those long-time, largest customers, an allocation amount of 90 cases per week has been reserved for Safecastle effective at once, with shipments beginning December 27, 2010.

Between now and December 27, 2010 we will be focusing on filling only current open orders. Then beginning December 27^th, we will only be shipping to those dealers that have been given an allocation amount. Any order placed today through December 27^th, will be placed in the allocation folder and shipments will not begin until December 27^th and only in the amount of your weekly allocation amount. Your weekly allocation cannot be carried over to the following week. If we do not have an open order for your account, your allocation amount will be used elsewhere.

In addition I wanted to let you know what other decision we have made as a direct result of your inventory situation. 1) We have removed all cans from our own website and 2) we stopped accepting new dealer accounts. Both of these actions were done several weeks ago.

We expect this situation to be necessary for several months, although we cannot foresee the future so this isn’t a guarantee. We will re-evaluate in January/February and let you know if we have an update.

Sincerely,

Oregon Freeze Dry, Inc.

Melanie Cornutt

Sales Manager, Retail

So the good news is that Safecastle will be able to continue as a MH dealer in good standing, submitting can case orders totaling up to 90 cases every week, beginning Dec. 27. Also good -- there are no price increases at this point.

What this means to you, effective immediately ...

In the meantime, we are taking MH can-case orders and placing them in a queue to be submitted Dec. 27. If and when we exceed 90 cases, those overage orders will need to be submitted to MH the following week. We anticipate that our order queue and all other dealers' who retain ordering privileges will quickly fill out weekly quotas that will extend further and further into next year.

Folks--I know many of you are well-prepared. That is great. Those of you who are not--this is your big heads-up. Time is now obviously of the essence. I sincerely believe this is only the beginning of a food crisis that is going to balloon into a day-to-day 2011 emergency across the USA.

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20 Stats That Prove Global Wealth is Being Funneled Into the Hands of the Elite

It won't brighten your day, but it will shed some light on "why" things are going as they are today:

http://www.businessinsider.com/statistics-about-inequality-2010-11#
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25+ Signs that Point to Nuclear War

Well-constructed analysis of the current global situation:

http://www.1913intel.com/2010/11/30/25-signs-that-point-to-nuclear-war/
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Awesome Animated Graphic Representation of the Last 200 Years of History (in 4 minutes)

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Lindsey: Central Bankers' Chilling Effect in US History

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