Safecastle | One Shop For All Emergency Essentials: Crystal ball

There are two ways to sleep well at night ... be ignorant or be prepared.

Showing posts with label Crystal ball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Crystal ball. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Food Prices Could Hit Tipping Point for Global Unrest

Excerpt:  When food shortages and rising prices drive people to desperation, social unrest soon follows. It’s as true today as it was in 18th-century France. According to a new analysis of food prices and unrest, the 2008 global food riots and ongoing Arab Spring may be a preview of what’s coming.

Read all about it and see the graphs.
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Is This It?

I've been around the block a few times ... riding the preparedness warhorse for most of those go-rounds.

As you have, I've seen a lot of suffering and experienced a little of it myself through the years. Plainly, bad stuff happens all the time in this life. Yes, even major, far-reaching catastrophes happen all too often--sometimes natural, occasionally at the hand of man. Either way, both ways, you live it. You learn from it.

Experience and the not-so-long odds are what make preparedness logical.

Now today, one can't help but notice a trending of major crisis events around the globe, a pattern of events out there that over time lead from one increasingly painful juncture to the next, and then on to something even worse. It doesn't require a sophisticated sense of awareness or an ability to analyze obtuse, convoluted data points. Today, the reality has become a ringing bell in the town square for most.


I can't count how many times in the past I've been asked if I think this is "it." You know ... is the crisis du jour going to be the trigger event for the big one, the end ... TEOTWAWKI.

My standard even-keeled response has usually been something like, "I don't know what the future holds, but I always see plenty of evidence that makes me feel justified in preparing my family for potential trouble ... and  in doing what I can to help others do the same."

It usually worked to help folks to slow down and take a breath.

That was then, this is now. Presently, there are far too many systemic issues, ongoing percolating crises without solutions, fundamental foundational questions, aimless self-serving leaders, and scared hurting people out there to be able to convincingly promote the calm, easy approach to our situation--yes the situation we all find ourselves in today.

Hell--it's not just a few people wondering. More and more folks are wondering here and now, asking each other that same question ... is this it? Worst of all, no one has a reassuring response. No one.

That point alone should be enough ... enough to realize that we are up the proverbial creek without a paddle. There is no viable plan or recourse for recovery out there on a macro level. At least no other than a major war. Yes--that is being bounced around a little in some circles. That may indeed be conventional wisdom's Plan X (after Plans A thru W have resulted only in ever more dismal circumstances).

So What Now?

Bottom line is, we are all on our own. It's always been clear that in a worst-case scenario, personal self sufficiency is advisable. Or being a part of some kind of qualified, trusted group dynamic with adequate facilitation in place.

How will the great demise go down? It will be a little different for everyone. In general, I expect most will experience, perhaps in this order or close to it:

1. Violence
2. Hunger
3. Illness
4. Sorrow
5. Rage
6. Hopelessness
7. Violence

More detail than that and this becomes a novel, which I may not have time to complete. Thankfully, we do yet have more time to prepare and to pray.
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Saturday, July 09, 2011

A New World Order: When Demand Overtakes Supply

Must-read analysis and time-frame forecast by Societe Generale:

This is a very solid, data-centered approach, not only explaining the coming market crises but inevitable social upheavals as well.

You can't be ready if you don't see it coming.
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Wednesday, June 29, 2011

"War is in the Air"

"There is no point in deluding ourselves any longer or smugly dismissing apocalyptic scenarios as mere unbridled fear-mongering. War is going to break out in the Middle East, possibly later this year and almost certainly in 2012, and eventually in South Asia. There is a stark likelihood that these may be WMD wars."


Read entire article at
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Sunday, June 26, 2011

"Top 5 Places Not to Be When the Dollar Collapses"

Very interesting ...

"The dollar collapse will be the single largest event in human history. This will be the first event that will touch every single living person in the world. ..."

Read the article by Silver Shield.
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Tuesday, June 14, 2011

"System Wide Meltdown as U.S. to Enter Hyperinflation"

King World News interviewed John Embry, chief investment strategist of the $9B strong Sprott Asset Management. He spoke candidly about the hopelessness and near-term risk of the U.S. debt situation:

"... Two things you can be assured of:  One is that the standard of living for the average person will be crushed, and two there will be some form of civil unrest because people confronted with this reality are going to become extraordinarily unhappy.”

Read the whole interview.
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Saturday, March 19, 2011

State of Preparedness

First off ... prayers for those in Japan struggling to overcome!

I haven't had much time of late to keep this blog updated. Whew--we have been buried in Safecastle order processing and related business activity ... and I had thought the last few months were crazy in the preparedness biz. Nothing like a bonafide, world-class disaster to stir-up interest in (panic about) self-preservation.

Thought I'd better make a little time this morning to update our members and friends about our little slice of reality. Needless to say, preparedness is moving front and center around the globe these days for a majority of folks with a job and reason to live. Things just keep getting more volatile and increasingly likely that more doom is around the corner. (Can you find five people in your circle of friends who would disagree?) You pick the brand and flavor of risk ... no matter what you choose to focus on, eventual probabilities could make prophets out of all of us.

A few FAQs to respond to quickly ...

1.  Do we have Potassium Iodide?

Edit, April 9: Yes, we now have Potassium Iodide in stock.
Sorry--no, we sold out a while back. It's very tough to get a reliable supply now, obviously, at a reasonable price. Best bet might be your local pharmacy. Many of you have older stocks on hand. Even if past the expiration date, your pills should be stable and effective if they have been kept sealed and stored well. If the tablets are yellowed when you open them, that would be a sign that they have become unstable.

That said, at this point--U.S. residents are not presently at risk from the Japanese fallout.

2.  Gas masks, radiation detectors?

Yes--we have Venus gas masks, NP8000 filters, and K8 personal radiation detectors on hand, in dwindling supplies.

3.  What's the situation on Mountain House freeze dried food?

Mountain House recently closed off new orders for the MH canned foods. They also have temporarily discontinued some pouch food varieties ... all in an effort to work through a glut of backorders that built up over the last several months, from all over North America. Those who have orders in are waiting for their orders to be completely filled.

And MH is working to greatly expand their production capacity. They already are the world's number one freeze dried food producer. MH quality and dependability have built an unsurpassed reputation that more and more folks are counting on. We understand we will likely be able to relist MH cans in another month or two. Stand ready on that because the pent-up demand will be overwhelming again, even though at that point they will have finally gotten back to an equilibrium in being able to respond in a timely manner to new orders. We'll hope that MH/OFD will be ready for that next wave of panic buying.

4.  What about other food brands?

We continue to offer excellent emergency food storage options in many different food options:  Yoders, Honeyville Grains, American Family Supply, Grandma's Country, Bega, Red Feather, Future Essentials, and more.

We've been approached by a few other newer brands (and older brands with troubling histories) aiming to take advantage of the void left at present by the MH situation. We've had some experience with some of them and done research on others. We have reason to be concerned about the brands out there that we have chosen not to sell. If you are buying other brands--do your due diligence.

5.  How's business?

Well, obviously, business is unbelievable at Safecastle. For the last 8 months or so, we have been dealing with ever increasing order volume. And we thought we were near capacity previous to that. It's kind of surprising to learn how far you can extend one's endurance and energy when necessary. We're doing our utmost to deal with the needs of our club members and customers.

Supply lines are extremely stressed in many areas. But every one of our suppliers are working overtime to react to the demand.

6.  Is it the government that's buying up everything?

This is a popular one. It always seems to be a popular conspiracy theory to float at times like this. In this case--the answer is no. This is 100% about civilian consumer demand exploding within the last year.

More specifically, what we are seeing is a surge of new buyers coming into preparedness who are very anxious to spend LARGE amounts of money to get crisis-ready immediately. It seems the economy was an initial trigger and now we have global unrest and natural disasters feeding the beast. Fear and anxiety are roiling the populace. I suppose there has always been some element of that in play for whatever reason, but right now the contagion is spreading rapidly through middle and upper income levels in America (and elsewhere of course).

7.  What's next?

A loaded question if ever there was one. The big picture, from where I sit ... America and most of the world seem to be well down the slippery slope of chaos and ruin. I really had hoped this was not going to play out like this so soon.

Nonetheless, our job is to help folks deal with it, so Safecastle is about to expand our capacity and reach. More on that in the future.

Most of our suppliers too are recognizing the increasing need and they are doing similar things to be able to better respond. Of course, there are some conditions that are beyond control. Most significantly--material and food sourcing quantity and prices are a concern. Then there is always the potential for supply transport lines to be suddenly cut by natural or man-made circumstance. So while we deal in the increasing need for personal and corporate preparedness, there WILL come a time when some of those conduits get closed off (look at Mountain House already).

There are actually more questions about the future than answers. We can only do what we can do to anticipate and prepare.
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Sunday, February 06, 2011

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Egyptian Doctor: "Right now, I'd settle for a gun, but I can't even find one of those."

You know--I wasn't going to mention this, but here goes ... it was about 4 weeks ago now, I suddenly sensed that something was dramatically changing. Globally, there was a new dynamic springing up and spreading across the internet--it felt dangerous and ugly and more than anything else--powerfully threatening to the status quo. Now I'm not a sensing kind of person. I'm not even touchy-feely.

But this was a strong intuition that slapped me across the face about a week into the new year after the Pakistan governor's killing by his own bodyguard (who was then given a hero's welcome in court the next day) and then a Philippine councilman was shot and killed as he was inadvertently taking his assassin's photo (shown here).

I don't know why those crimes struck me, other than the fact that in this media-saturated world--everyone saw that Philippine image--it was shocking and it seemed to have the potential of creating a lot of copycat thinking to emerge--given the fact that there was already an obvious amount of frustration and anger out there due to the economy and a multitude of other stresses.

Of course then, the Tucson Congresswoman shooting happened a week or so later. Following that, the riots in Tunisia, Algeria, and Egypt have erupted ... which threaten to bring about an even greater potential for violent upheaval throughout the Middle East and elsewhere.

It seems I may indeed have detected an early disturbance in the force. Can YOU hear the sound of falling dominos rippling away in the distance?

Egypt: My Practice for a Gun

I was just scanning an article about the latest situation in Egypt. The excerpt pasted below, to me, captures perhaps a sentiment that speaks to many around the world today at a base level ...

Read the whole article on Egypt's current chaos right here:


A growing number of governments - including China, France, Germany, Belgium, Sweden, Finland, Russia and Poland - warned against travel to most parts, if not all of Egypt. Arab nations, including Iraq, either sent in jets to take their citizens home, or offered to do so.

"If I had a visa to anywhere, I'd join them. But that's not going to happen," said Mohammed Khaled, a 28-year-old Egyptian doctor. "Right now, I'd settle for a gun, but I can't even find one of those."

Second amendment anyone?
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Thursday, January 20, 2011

The Fourth American Revolution

Strauss and Howe, in "The Fourth Turning," were very accurate in their mid-'90s assessments of where we would be at this point in time. And Jim Quinn of The Burning Platform does a great job of syncing us up to the minute ...

The next Fourth Turning is due to begin shortly after the new millennium, midway through the Oh-Oh decade. Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the land, with severe distress that could involve questions of class, race, nation and empire. The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression and World War II. - The Fourth Turning - Strauss & Howe -1997

Be sure to read in its entirety this column and recalibrate to where we are in this grand swing of the pendulum.
Get Ready ... Seriously --

Friday, December 10, 2010

John Williams: Watch for Dollar Panic in the Next Year

Click the player image below and jump to Business News Network to watch a Dec. 8 interview with Economist John Williams. Hyperinflation, depression, and collapse are in his forecast for the next year or so. He says to watch for panicked selling of the dollar as the final warning.

.Get Ready ... Seriously --